Bill Maher | January 11 2007

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Part One

Part Two

Part Three

Part Four

Part Five

Part Six

Bill Maher | Tony Snow Confuses "Voter Fraud" For "Election Fraud"

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Bill Maher on Conan O'Brien

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Consumer Electronics Show News

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Seattle Seahawks at Green Bay Packers: Inside The Playbook

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GREG BISHOP

THE NY TIMES

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Every time the Packers and the Seahawks meet it is like a small family reunion. For starters, Seahawks Coach Mike Holmgren once led the Packers to the Super Bowl, and lest anyone forget the impression he left on the city, he will cruise to the game down Holmgren Way. Matt Hasselbeck, the Seahawks’ quarterback, started his career in Green Bay. His mentor? The Packers’ ageless quarterback Brett Favre, he of the 4,155 passing yards and 28 passing touchdowns this season. The last time these teams met in the playoffs, in January 2004, Hasselbeck famously shouted during the overtime coin toss: “We want the ball. And we’re going to score!”

He threw an interception that the Packers returned for the winning touchdown.

Since then, both teams went to work renovating their defenses. The Packers have one of the best cornerback tandems in the N.F.L. in Al Harris, who intercepted the pass from Hasselbeck, and Charles Woodson, along with an active linebacker in A.J. Hawk. The architect of that improved defense is General Manager Ted Thompson, formerly of the Seahawks.

This game could hinge on which revamped defense plays better. The Seahawks’ defense features four Pro Bowl starters in defensive end Patrick Kerney, linebackers Lofa Tatupu and Julian Peterson and cornerback Marcus Trufant. But that same defense allowed 44 points to Atlanta and has played only three playoff teams this season.

Pie Chart Shows Obama/Clinton Paper/Electonic Vote Count

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Spooky:

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Electronic Voting Machines Overwhelmingly Give Hillary Clinton The Victory In New Hampshire

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 From the BBV forum

Charts of Results NH Primary 2008

application/vnd.ms-excelExcel file of NH 2008 Primary Analysis
votes2.xls (160.3 k)

Bev Harris Makes Eerie Prediction About New Hampshire Voting Machines

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From Black Box Voting

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Another observation: At this stage of the game, and this may not be relevant statistically due to demographic differences in reporting locations (which are nowhere identified as far as I can tell)…

The voting machine results coming in for the Democratic candidates do not match the exit polls for the top two. Obama was the clear winner, according to reports I heard based on the exit polls. Hillary has a commanding lead from the incoming voting machine reports.

There are two stages to the projections: Exit polling, which is what people said they voted for, and voting machine results, which is what the computers report. Early projections come from exit polls, and as the evening progresses, what’s coming in comes from voting machines.

We saw exit polls award the race to Gore in 2000, and then voting machines award it to Bush (and then, when the minus 16,022 votes were pulled out of the Diebold optical scan — the same make, model and version as New Hampshire’s machines), they put the candidates at a tie. A statewide hand count later showed Gore won.

In 2002, the same pattern appeared, but was more pronounced: The exit polls went one way, but when the voting machine results came in it flipped.

Watch the Dem race very carefully to see if the front runners remain flipped from the exit polls as the machine results come in.

The two areas identified as most likely to be dirty in NH are Manchester and Nashua, according to my sources on the ground there.

In New Hampshire, I expect to see the first hour’s results to be mostly machine results, with some machine results withheld for the very end. The hand counts will take a little longer to come in, but since I like to make bets, I’m betting that some voting machine locations will be withheld until after the hand count places.

New Hampshire is not identifying which locations are in, unless I’m missing something at the Sec. State web site.

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The Sideshow: Getting It Done

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jerry.gifNotesI was listening to Thom Hartmann talking to various people in NH and Ted Olsen was telling him how great Rudy was for New York. Grrr.

Carolyn Kay has her usual collection of media links, including:

  • Clear Channel could win FCC approval shortly. The scuttlebutt on Wall Street and in Washington is the FCC will sign-off on the $19.5 billion buyout by Bain Capital and Thomas H. Lee Partners soon – possibly by the end of the week. Only Democrat Michael Copps is expected to vote against the deal.” Caro notes that Mitt Romney, a founder of the company, still owns interest in Bain.
  • Dean Baker finds Yet Another Protectionist Cry for “Free Trade” in the NYT that clearly is only about forcing low-skilled or low-paid workers to compete with Chinese slaves, but still protects high-earning professional jobs: “If the NYT ever let a real free trader write a column, they would probably also report on the enormous costs imposed on both the economies of the United States and developing countries through copyright protection and patent protection on prescription drugs. The latter raises drug prices in the United States by close to $200 billion a year (@ $670 per person) over their competitive market price. Free traders would be concerned about such costs. This sum is one or two orders of magnitude greater than the amount of money at stake in trade agreements like CAFTA.
  • Pat Robertson thinks God told him a Democrat will win the election – but he hopes he heard wrong.
  • Oops! Did Barack Obama’s campaign run slightly illegal robo-calls in New Hampshire?

I see some else has gone plural, and it’s now We Love America More Than Anyone. And some videos of Americans in the Spanish Civil War. Sort of the opposite of Jonah Goldberg.